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Artificial Analysis AI Trends

Analysis of the current state of AI and the key trends driving progress. Includes analysis of the intelligence of models, their efficiency, architecture, inference speed and cost and trends in training.

State of AI (Highlights) - Q3 2025

Analysis of the AI landscape and the key trends shaping AI

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AI ProgressEfficiencyCountry AnalysisOpen Source ModelsModel ArchitectureTraining Analysis

AI Progress

Tracking the continued advancement of AI, and the position of each of the leading AI companies.

Frontier Language Model Intelligence, Over Time

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 incorporates 10 evaluations: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt
Alibaba
Anthropic
DeepSeek
Google
Kimi
Korea Telecom
LG AI Research
MBZUAI Institute of Foundation Models
Meta
MiniMax
Mistral
OpenAI
xAI
Xiaomi
Z AI
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon.

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 includes: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

Capital Expenditure by Major Tech Companies, Over Time

Capital Expenditure by Quarter (in Billions of USD)
Microsoft
Google
Meta
Amazon
Oracle

Represents major investments by tech companies in infrastructure, including AI hardware (like GPUs and data centers). Capex is a strong indicator of a company's commitment to AI development, as training and running frontier models requires significant computing resources.

Note: Capex data is sourced from publicly available financial reports, news articles, and primarily from the SEC.

Intelligence vs. Release Date

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index; Release Date
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Most attractive region
Alibaba
Amazon
Anthropic
DeepSeek
Google
Kimi
Korea Telecom
LG AI Research
MBZUAI Institute of Foundation Models
Meta
MiniMax
Mistral
NVIDIA
OpenAI
xAI
Xiaomi
Z AI

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 includes: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

Leading Models by AI Lab

Highest Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index achieved by each AI Lab
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon.

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 includes: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index by Model Type

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 incorporates 10 evaluations: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt
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Reasoning Model
Non-Reasoning Model
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon.

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 includes: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

Efficiency

Analysis of how efficiency of AI is developing. This includes considering how the cost of achieving levels of intelligence and the speed at which this intelligence is accessible are trending.

Language Model Inference Price

Price (USD per M Tokens)
Intelligence Index < 10
10 ≤ Intelligence Index < 20
20 ≤ Intelligence Index < 30
30 ≤ Intelligence Index < 40
40 ≤ Intelligence Index < 50
Intelligence Index ≥ 50
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon.

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 includes: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

Price per token, represented as USD per million Tokens. Price is a blend of Input & Output token prices (3:1 ratio).

Figures represent performance of the model's first-party API (e.g. OpenAI for o1) or the median across providers where a first-party API is not available (e.g. Meta's Llama models).

Language Model Output Speed

Output Tokens per Second
Intelligence Index < 10
10 ≤ Intelligence Index < 20
20 ≤ Intelligence Index < 30
30 ≤ Intelligence Index < 40
40 ≤ Intelligence Index < 50
Intelligence Index ≥ 50
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon.

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 includes: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

Tokens per second received while the model is generating tokens (ie. after first chunk has been received from the API for models which support streaming).

Figures represent performance of the model's first-party API (e.g. OpenAI for o1) or the median across providers where a first-party API is not available (e.g. Meta's Llama models).

Country Analysis

AI is a global phenomenon. We share perspectives on where AI progress is happening and how the leading models from countries compare. We deep-dive on the US and China as the two leading hubs for AI development.

Frontier Language Model Intelligence By Country, Over Time

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 incorporates 10 evaluations: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt
Canada
China
France
Israel
South Korea
United Arab Emirates
United States
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon.

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 includes: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

Price per token, represented as USD per million Tokens. Price is a blend of Input & Output token prices (3:1 ratio).

Figures represent performance of the model's first-party API (e.g. OpenAI for o1) or the median across providers where a first-party API is not available (e.g. Meta's Llama models).

Open Weights: Frontier Language Model Intelligence By Country, Over Time

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 incorporates 10 evaluations: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt
Canada
China
France
Israel
South Korea
United Arab Emirates
United States
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon.

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 includes: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

Price per token, represented as USD per million Tokens. Price is a blend of Input & Output token prices (3:1 ratio).

Figures represent performance of the model's first-party API (e.g. OpenAI for o1) or the median across providers where a first-party API is not available (e.g. Meta's Llama models).

Leading Models by Country

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, Leading Models
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United States
China
South Korea
United Arab Emirates
France
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon.

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 includes: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

Open Source Models

Open weights models offer flexibility in deployment and the ability to fine-tune the models for specific use cases. We analyze the leading open weights models and how intelligence compares to proprietary models.

Progress in Open Weights vs. Proprietary Intelligence

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 incorporates 10 evaluations: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt
Open Weights
Proprietary
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon.

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 includes: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

Indicates whether the model weights are available. Models are labelled as 'Commercial Use Restricted' if the weights are available but commercial use is limited (typically requires obtaining a paid license).

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index by Open Weights / Proprietary

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 incorporates 10 evaluations: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt
+ Add model from specific provider
Proprietary
Open Weights
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon.

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 includes: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

Indicates whether the model weights are available. Models are labelled as 'Commercial Use Restricted' if the weights are available but commercial use is limited (typically requires obtaining a paid license).

Model Architecture

The architecture of AI models influences their performance and efficiency. This section examines architectural trends in models, such as the rise in popularity of the Mixture of Experts (MoE) architecture, and how these relate to model capabilities.

Intelligence Index vs Release Date by Model Architecture

Most attractive region
Dense
MoE

A model where only a subset of parameters ("experts") are active per input. Routing mechanisms select a few experts per forward pass, reducing computation while allowing the model to scale to many more parameters overall.

A model where all parameters are active for every input. Every forward pass involves the full network, making it computationally intensive but straightforward to train and deploy.

Model Size: Total and Active Parameters

Comparison between total model parameters and parameters active during inference
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Active Parameters
Passive Parameters
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon.

The total number of trainable weights and biases in the model, expressed in billions. These parameters are learned during training and determine the model's ability to process and generate responses.

The number of parameters actually executed during each inference forward pass, expressed in billions. For Mixture of Experts (MoE) models, a routing mechanism selects a subset of experts per token, resulting in fewer active than total parameters. Dense models use all parameters, so active equals total.

Intelligence vs. Active Parameters

Active Parameters at Inference Time; Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index
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Most attractive quadrant
Alibaba
DeepSeek
Kimi
Korea Telecom
LG AI Research
MBZUAI Institute of Foundation Models
Meta
MiniMax
Mistral
NVIDIA
OpenAI
Xiaomi
Z AI
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon.

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 includes: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

The number of parameters actually executed during each inference forward pass, expressed in billions. For Mixture of Experts (MoE) models, a routing mechanism selects a subset of experts per token, resulting in fewer active than total parameters. Dense models use all parameters, so active equals total.

Intelligence vs. Total Parameters

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index; Size in Parameters (Billions)
+ Add model from specific provider
Most attractive quadrant
Alibaba
DeepSeek
Kimi
Korea Telecom
LG AI Research
MBZUAI Institute of Foundation Models
Meta
MiniMax
Mistral
NVIDIA
OpenAI
Xiaomi
Z AI
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon.

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 includes: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

The total number of trainable weights and biases in the model, expressed in billions. These parameters are learned during training and determine the model's ability to process and generate responses.

Intelligence vs. Total Parameters

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index; Size in Parameters (Billions)
Most attractive quadrant
Alibaba
DeepSeek
Google
Kimi
Korea Telecom
LG AI Research
MBZUAI Institute of Foundation Models
Meta
MiniMax
Mistral
OpenAI
xAI
Xiaomi
Z AI
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon.

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 includes: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

The total number of trainable weights and biases in the model, expressed in billions. These parameters are learned during training and determine the model's ability to process and generate responses.

Context Length (Tokens), Median By Quarter

Median Context Length (thousand tokens)
Open Source
Proprietary

Larger context windows are relevant to RAG (Retrieval Augmented Generation) LLM workflows which typically involve reasoning and information retrieval of large amounts of data.

Maximum number of combined input & output tokens. Output tokens commonly have a significantly lower limit (varied by model).

Training Analysis

Our analysis of trends in the training of AI models includes consideration of both trends in the size of training runs as well as the relationship between the size of the training run and the intelligence of the model.

Training Tokens By Model

Training tokens in trillions
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon.

The number of tokens used to train the model, represented in trillions.

Intelligence vs. Training Tokens

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 incorporates 10 evaluations: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt; Training Tokens in Trillions
Most attractive quadrant
Alibaba
Google
Meta
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon.

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.0 includes: GDPval-AA, 𝜏²-Bench Telecom, Terminal-Bench Hard, SciCode, AA-LCR, AA-Omniscience, IFBench, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

The number of tokens used to train the model, represented in trillions.