Artificial Analysis AI Trends

Analysis of the current state of AI and the key trends driving progress. Includes analysis of the intelligence of models, their efficiency, architecture, inference speed and cost.

AI Progress

Tracking the continued advancement of AI, and the position of each of the leading AI companies.

Artificial Analysis Progress Index v1, Over Time

Item response theory estimate of general capability across Artificial Analysis evaluations · Highest-scoring effort variant shown

Capital Expenditure by Major Tech Companies, Over Time

Capital expenditure by quarter (in billions of USD)

Artificial Analysis Progress Index v1 vs. Release Date

Item response theory estimate of general capability across Artificial Analysis evaluations · Highest-scoring effort variant shown
Most attractive region
Highest score to date

Leading Models by AI Lab

Highest Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index achieved by each AI lab
No publicly available API

Efficiency

Analysis of how efficiency of AI is developing. This includes considering how the cost of achieving levels of intelligence and the speed at which this intelligence is accessible are trending.

Language Model Cost per Intelligence Index Task, by Artificial Analysis Progress Index v1 Threshold, Over Time

Cost in USD per Intelligence Index task, averaged across evaluations by index weight. Thresholds use the Artificial Analysis Progress Index v1.

Language Model Output Price, by Artificial Analysis Progress Index v1 Threshold, Over Time

Price in USD per 1M output tokens. Thresholds use the Artificial Analysis Progress Index v1.

Language Model Output Speed, by Artificial Analysis Progress Index v1 Threshold, Over Time

Output tokens per second. Thresholds use the Artificial Analysis Progress Index v1.

Country Analysis

AI is a global phenomenon. We share perspectives on where AI progress is happening and how the leading models from countries compare. We deep-dive on the US and China as the two leading hubs for AI development.

Artificial Analysis Progress Index v1 by Country, Over Time

Item response theory estimate of general capability across Artificial Analysis evaluations · Highest-scoring effort variant shown

Open Weights: Artificial Analysis Progress Index v1 by Country, Over Time

Item response theory estimate of general capability across Artificial Analysis evaluations · Highest-scoring effort variant shown

Leading Models by Country

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index · Leading models
No publicly available API

Open Source Models

Open weights models offer flexibility in deployment and the ability to fine-tune the models for specific use cases. We analyze the leading open weights models and how intelligence compares to proprietary models.

Open Weights vs. Proprietary: Artificial Analysis Progress Index v1, Over Time

Item response theory estimate of general capability across Artificial Analysis evaluations · Highest-scoring effort variant shown

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index by Open Weights / Proprietary

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v5.0 incorporates 9 evaluations: AA-Briefcase v1.1, AutomationBench-AA, Terminal-Bench 4.0, FrontierCode 2.0, AA-Omniscience v1.1, GDP.pdf, HLE-Diamond, CritPt v2 (Hard Subset), and Terminal-Bench-Science 0.1
No publicly available API

Model Architecture

The architecture of AI models influences their performance and efficiency. This section examines architectural trends in models, such as the rise in popularity of the Mixture of Experts (MoE) architecture, and how these relate to model capabilities.

Artificial Analysis Progress Index v1 vs. Release Date by Model Architecture

Artificial Analysis Progress Index v1, open weights models only. The highest-scoring variant is shown per model.
Most attractive region

Model Size: Total and Active Parameters

Comparison between total model parameters and parameters active during inference (billions)

Intelligence Index vs. Active Parameters

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index · Active parameters at inference time (billions)
Most attractive quadrant
Pareto line

Intelligence Index vs. Total Parameters

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index · Size in parameters (billions)
Most attractive quadrant
Pareto line

Context Length (Tokens), Median By Quarter

Median context length (thousand tokens)