Calculate TFR

Prompt

Calculate the statistically most likely TFR for full year 1960 10,602,000 419,442 74,000 345,000 39.5 7.0 32.5 4.2 5.75 1961 10,983,000 420,254 74,000 346,254 38.3 6.7 31.5 4.4 5.58 1962 11,312,000 423,469 72,000 351,469 37.4 6.4 31.1 −1.1 5.46 1963 11,680,000 424,250 71,000 353,250 36.3 6.1 30.2 2.3 5.35 1964 12,088,000 416,926 69,000 347,926 34.5 5.7 28.8 6.1 5.10 1965 12,442,000 406,604 67,887 338,717 32.7 5.5 27.2 2.1 4.82 1966 12,812,000 415,108 69,778 345,330 32.4 5.4 27.0 2.7 4.95 1967 13,147,000 374,282 71,861 302,421 28.5 5.5 23.0 3.1 4.22 1968 13,474,000 394,260 73,650 320,610 29.3 5.5 23.8 1.1 4.36 1969 13,995,000 390,728 70,549 320,179 27.9 5.0 22.9 15.8 4.14 1970 14,507,000 394,015 71,135 322,883 27.2 4.9 22.3 14.3 4.00 1971 14,837,000 380,424 70,954 309,470 25.6 4.8 20.9 1.8 3.70 1972 15,145,000 365,749 71,486 294,263 24.1 4.7 19.4 1.4 3.36 1973 15,424,000 366,942 73,477 293,465 23.8 4.8 19.0 −0.6 3.21 1974 15,699,000 355,933 74,760 293,063 23.4 4.8 18.7 −0.9 2.94 1975 15,999,000 357,653 75,061 292,586 23.0 4.7 18.3 0.8 2.76 1976 16,298,000 424,075 77,000 347,075 26.0 4.7 21.3 −2.6 3.08 1977 16,601,000 393,633 79,000 316,796 23.7 4.8 19.1 −0.5 2.64 1978 16,951,000 411,637 79,000 330,203 24.3 4.7 19.5 1.6 2.71 1979 17,337,000 421,720 82,000 340,518 24.3 4.7 19.6 3.2 2.67 1980 17,608,000 413,881 84,333 329,548 23.5 4.8 18.7 −3.1 2.51 1981 17,972,000 414,069 87,192 326,877 23.0 4.9 18.2 2.5 2.45 1982 18,261,000 405,263 87,578 317,685 22.2 4.8 17.4 −1.3 2.32 1983 18,538,000 383,439 90,951 292,488 20.7 4.9 15.8 −0.6 2.17 1984 18,873,000 371,008 89,915 281,093 19.7 4.8 14.9 3.2 2.05 1985 19,135,000 346,208 92,348 253,860 18.1 4.8 13.3 0.6 1.88 1986 19,356,000 309,230 95,057 214,173 16.0 4.9 11.1 0.4 1.68 1987 19,564,000 314,024 96,319 217,705 16.1 4.9 11.1 −0.4 1.70 1988 19,788,000 342,031 102,113 239,918 17.3 5.2 12.1 −0.7 1.86 1989 20,004,000 315,299 103,288 212,011 15.8 5.2 10.6 0.3 1.68 1990 20,230,000 335,618 105,669 229,949 16.6 5.2 11.4 −0.1 1.81 1991 20,455,000 321,932 106,284 215,648 15.7 5.2 10.5 0.6 1.72 1992 20,655,000 321,632 110,516 211,116 15.6 5.4 10.2 −0.4 1.73 1993 20,848,000 325,613 110,901 214,712 15.6 5.3 10.3 −1.0 1.76 1994 21,087,000 322,938 113,866 209,072 15.3 5.4 9.9 1.6 1.76 1995 21,268,000 329,581 119,112 210,469 15.5 5.6 9.9 −1.3 1.78 1996 21,441,000 325,545 122,489 203,056 15.2 5.7 9.5 −1.4 1.76 1997 21,634,000 326,002 121,000 205,002 15.1 5.6 9.5 −0.5 1.77 1998 21,836,000 271,450 123,180 148,270 12.4 5.6 6.8 2.5 1.47 1999 22,011,000 283,661 126,113 157,548 12.9 5.7 7.2 0.8 1.56 2000 22,185,000 305,312 125,957 179,355 13.8 5.7 8.1 −0.2 1.68 2001 22,342,000 260,354 127,647 132,707 11.7 5.7 5.9 1.2 1.40 2002 22,464,000 247,530 128,636 118,894 11.0 5.7 5.3 0.2 1.34 2003 22,554,000 227,070 130,801 96,269 10.1 5.8 4.3 −0.3 1.24 2004 22,647,000 216,419 135,092 81,327 9.6 6.0 3.6 0.5 1.18 2005 22,730,000 205,854 139,398 66,456 9.1 6.1 2.9 0.8 1.12 2006 22,824,000 204,459 135,839 68,620 9.0 6.0 3.0 1.1 1.12 2007 22,918,000 204,414 141,111 63 303 8.9 6.2 2.8 1.3 1.10 2008 22,998,000 198,733 143,624 55,109 8.6 6.2 2.4 1.1 1.05 2009 23,079,000 191,310 143,582 47,728 8.3 6.2 2.1 1.4 1.03 2010 23,141,000 166,886 145,772 21,114 7.2 6.3 0.9 1.8 0.90 2011 23,194,000 196,627 152,915 43,712 8.5 6.6 1.9 0.4 1.07 2012 23,271,000 229,481 154,251 75,230 9.9 6.6 3.2 0.1 1.27 2013 23,345,000 199,113 155,908 43,205 8.5 6.7 1.8 1.4 1.07 2014 23,434,000 210,383 163,929 46,454 9.0 7.0 2.0 1.8 1.17 2015 23,472,000 213,598 163,858 49,740 9.1 7.0 2.1 −0.5 1.18 2016 23,540,000 208,440 172,405 36,035 8.8 7.3 1.5 1.4 1.17 2017 23,571,000 193,844 171,242 22,602 8.2 7.3 0.9 0.4 1.13 2018 23,589,000 181,601 172,784 8,817 7.7 7.3 0.4 0.4 1.06 2019 23,603,000 177,767 176,296 1,471 7.5 7.5 0.0 0.6 1.05 2020[41] 23,561,000 165,249 173,156 −7,907 7.0 7.4 −0.4 −1.4 0.99 2021 23,359,000 153,820 183,732 −29,912 6.6 7.9 −1.3 −7.3 0.98 2022 23,264,000 138,986 207,230 −68,244 6.0 8.9 −2.9 −1.2 0.87 2023 23,420,000 135,571 205,368 −69,797 5.8 8.8 −3.0 9.7 0.86 2024 23,400,000 134,856 202,107 −67,251 5.8 8.7 −2.9 2.1 0.89 2025 23,299,132 107,812 200,268 −92,456 4.6 8.6 −4.0 −0.4 0.70 Current vital statistics Period Live births Deaths Natural increase January—August 2025 72,778 136,752 –63,974 January—August 2026 61,742 132,098 –70,356 Difference Decrease −11,036 (-14.2%) Positive decrease –4,654 (-3.4%) Decrease −6,382