Artificial Analysis AIトレンド

AIの現状と進歩を牽引する主要トレンドを分析。モデルの知能、効率、アーキテクチャ、推論速度とコスト、学習のトレンドを取り上げます。

AIの現状（ハイライト）- 2025年末版

AI市場と、その方向性を形作る主要トレンドの分析

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AIの進歩

AIの継続的な進歩と、主要AI企業の位置付けを追跡します。

Frontier Language Model Intelligence, Over Time

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 incorporates 9 evaluations: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 includes: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

大手テクノロジー企業の設備投資額の推移

四半期ごとの設備投資額（10億USD）

Represents major investments by tech companies in infrastructure, including AI hardware (like GPUs and data centers). Capex is a strong indicator of a company's commitment to AI development, as training and running frontier models requires significant computing resources.

Note: Capex data is sourced from publicly available financial reports, news articles, and primarily from the SEC.

Intelligence Indexとリリース日

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index · Release date
Most attractive region

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 includes: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

AIラボ別の主要モデル

各AIラボが達成したArtificial Analysis Intelligence Indexの最高値
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 includes: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

効率

AIの効率がどのように向上しているかを分析します。特定の知能水準を実現するコストと、その知能を利用できる速度の変化も検討します。

Intelligence Index帯別の言語モデル推論料金の推移

100万トークンあたりの料金（USD。キャッシュ、入力、出力トークン料金を7:2:1でブレンド）。帯の区分にはArtificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1を使用。
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 includes: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

Intelligence Index帯別の言語モデル出力速度の推移

1秒あたりの出力トークン数。帯の区分にはArtificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1を使用。
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 includes: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

国別分析

AIは世界的な現象です。AIの進歩がどこで起きているか、各国の主要モデルをどう比較できるかについて分析します。AI開発の二大拠点である米国と中国を詳しく取り上げます。

国別の最先端言語モデルの知能の推移

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 incorporates 9 evaluations: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 includes: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

オープンウェイト：国別の最先端言語モデルの知能の推移

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 incorporates 9 evaluations: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 includes: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

Leading Models by Country

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index · Leading models
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 includes: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

オープンソースモデル

オープンウェイトモデルには、柔軟にデプロイでき、特定のユースケースに合わせてファインチューニングできる利点があります。主要なオープンウェイトモデルと、独自モデルとの知能の違いを分析します。

Progress in Open Weights vs. Proprietary Intelligence

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 incorporates 9 evaluations: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 includes: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

Indicates whether the model weights are available. Models are labelled as 'Commercial Use Restricted' if the weights are available but commercial use is limited (typically requires obtaining a paid license).

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index by Open Weights / Proprietary

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 incorporates 9 evaluations: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 includes: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

Indicates whether the model weights are available. Models are labelled as 'Commercial Use Restricted' if the weights are available but commercial use is limited (typically requires obtaining a paid license).

モデルアーキテクチャ

AIモデルのアーキテクチャは、性能と効率に影響します。このセクションでは、Mixture of Experts（MoE）アーキテクチャの普及など、モデルのアーキテクチャに関するトレンドと、モデルの能力との関係を検証します。

モデルアーキテクチャ別のIntelligence Indexとリリース日

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index、オープンウェイトモデルのみ
Most attractive region

A model where only a subset of parameters ("experts") are active per input. Routing mechanisms select a few experts per forward pass, reducing computation while allowing the model to scale to many more parameters overall.

A model where all parameters are active for every input. Every forward pass involves the full network, making it computationally intensive but straightforward to train and deploy.

Model Size: Total and Active Parameters

Comparison between total model parameters and parameters active during inference
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon

The total number of trainable weights and biases in the model, expressed in billions. These parameters are learned during training and determine the model's ability to process and generate responses.

The number of parameters actually executed during each inference forward pass, expressed in billions. For Mixture of Experts (MoE) models, a routing mechanism selects a subset of experts per token, resulting in fewer active than total parameters. Dense models use all parameters, so active equals total.

Intelligence Index vs. Active Parameters

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index · Active parameters at inference time
Most attractive quadrant
Pareto line
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 includes: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

The number of parameters actually executed during each inference forward pass, expressed in billions. For Mixture of Experts (MoE) models, a routing mechanism selects a subset of experts per token, resulting in fewer active than total parameters. Dense models use all parameters, so active equals total.

Intelligence Indexと総パラメーター数

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index · Size in parameters (billions)
Most attractive quadrant
Pareto line
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 includes: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

The total number of trainable weights and biases in the model, expressed in billions. These parameters are learned during training and determine the model's ability to process and generate responses.

コンテキスト長（トークン）の四半期中央値

コンテキスト長の中央値（千トークン）

Larger context windows are relevant to RAG (Retrieval Augmented Generation) LLM workflows which typically involve reasoning and information retrieval of large amounts of data.

Maximum number of combined input & output tokens. Output tokens commonly have a significantly lower limit (varied by model).

学習分析

AIモデルの学習に関するトレンドとして、学習実行の規模の変化と、学習規模とモデルの知能の関係を分析します。

モデル別の学習トークン

学習トークン数（兆）
No data available
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon

The number of tokens used to train the model, represented in trillions.

Intelligence Indexと学習トークン数

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 incorporates 9 evaluations: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR · 学習トークン数（兆）
Most attractive quadrant
No data available
Reasoning models are indicated by a lightbulb icon

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v4.1 includes: GDPval-AA v2, 𝜏³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, SciCode, Humanity's Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, AA-Omniscience, AA-LCR. See Intelligence Index methodology for further details, including a breakdown of each evaluation and how we run them.

The number of tokens used to train the model, represented in trillions.